Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities: It is predicted that the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly weakened in 2025. At the 2025 Dongwu Strategy Meeting held on the 10th, Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, said that the leverage ratio of Chinese government departments, especially the central government, is not high, which has sufficient policy space and full confidence in China's economy next year. The driving force of economic growth will come from three aspects. First, the growth rate of consumption will pick up. The "trade-in" policy has boosted consumption this year and is expected to play a greater role next year; Second, real estate has stopped falling and stabilized. Since the introduction of the "package policy" in October, various real estate indicators have shown signs of stopping falling. It is expected that it will continue to stabilize next year, and the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly reduced; Third, the policy of "10 trillion yuan in five years" will stimulate the vitality of local governments, open up the blocking point of fiscal policy transmission, and support China's economy to be stable and far-reaching.South Korea's ruling party is discussing the possibility of letting Yin Xiyue resign in February or March next year. According to many media reports on December 10th, South Korea's ruling National Power Party will announce the road map of South Korean President Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal", and may announce the time and manner of Yin Xiyue's early retirement, including the different possibilities of "resignation in February and general election in April" or "resignation in March and general election in May". Lee Yang-soo, a member of the ruling party in charge of political stability, said that compared with impeachment, the timetables of the above two schemes have advanced faster, and Yin Xiyue's resignation and holding presidential elections will reduce uncertainty and minimize public opinion differences; "Yin Xiyue should step down in a safer and more dignified way than impeachment", and the party needs to make a decision on Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal" this week. Earlier, Li Zaiming, leader of South Korea's largest opposition party, stressed that Yin Xiyue must be successfully impeached on December 14th.Ukraine National Natural Gas Transportation Company: On December 11th, the nominated amount of Russian natural gas at Sudzha border crossing was 42.39 million cubic meters, while on December 10th, it was 42.34 million cubic meters.
The ETF of ultra-long-term treasury bonds rose by nearly 2% in a single day, which reached a record high. On December 10th, the bond market rose strongly. Wind data showed that as of 15:58, the yield of 10-year treasury bonds dropped by 6 basis points, and the yields of 7-year and 5-year treasury bonds all fell by 5 basis points. Bond ETFs are all red-hot. The 30-year government bond index ETF(511130) and the 30-year Treasury ETF(511090) rose by 1.96% and 1.87% respectively today, which collectively set a new historical high since listing. (CSI)About 90% of China's elderly care at home. In 2024, the size of China's smart pension market may reach 6.8 trillion yuan. According to National Health Commission data, at present, China's old-age care presents a "9073" pattern, with about 90% of the elderly care at home, 7% in the community and 3% in "high-end health care". According to statistics, the smart pension market in China will reach 6.8 trillion yuan in 2024.Amazon has deployed 750,000 robots in the global logistics network. At the 2024 Amazon Global Cross-border Summit, Amazon executives revealed that more than 750,000 robots have been deployed in its global logistics distribution network. Among them, there are fixed packaging picking robots such as Fanuc, and autonomous mobile robots for warehousing and handling.
In the third quarter of the United States, the productivity growth of 2.2% was in line with expectations. According to the data of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the productivity in the third quarter increased by 2.2% year-on-year, which was in line with expectations. The forecast range of 32 economists is 2.1% to 2.8%. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced earlier that the initial productivity in the third quarter increased by 2.2%.Greentown China set up an enterprise management company in Anhui with a registered capital of 400 million yuan. Tianyancha App shows that recently, Anhui Zheming Enterprise Management Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Fang Xiaofei and the registered capital of 400 million yuan. Its business scope covers enterprise management, enterprise management consulting, information consulting services and socio-economic consulting services, and it is managed by Zhejiang Greentown Real Estate Investment Co., Ltd., Nanjing Zhenshuo Enterprise Management Partnership (Limited Partnership) and Ningbo Zhezhan Enterprise Management Partnership (Limited Partnership)Netanyahu testified in court on the corruption case involved, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu went to an Israeli court on the morning of the 10th local time to testify in court on the corruption case involved. For security reasons, the hearing was arranged in an underground hall of the Jaffa District Court in Tel Aviv. The reporter of the General Station was informed that in recent months, Netanyahu has tried to postpone his testimony many times. (CCTV News)
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13